unless something dramatic happened that made Fabio look like a star.


Basically, Fabio needs the doomsday F6 TC scenario laid out by Harrison to happen to set off the chain of events that would lead to him having a shot at winning. If Fabio wins immunity and we head into a TC where both Sash and Chase are also safe due to their HII, that could set the stage for someone, likely Sash, turning on the women as it would be ludicrous to vote out Dan. If that does happen and Fabio continues to win challenges, there will be a lot of carnage as the current majority alliance has to eat itself, which could definitely sway some slamdunk votes - especially if Chase has to join in on voting out someone like Jane. If Fabio is in the F3 with Dan and Chase/Sash, he could be the beneficiary of a ton of arrows being directed everywhere but his direction. Given that it's basically the way that three of the past four winners have taken their crowns, it would hardly surprise me to see it happen again.

I would be far more likely to think that Chase has a legit chance if we weren't being beaten over the head every episode by people saying how incredibly stupid and bad at strategy he is. The flubbed choices for the reward couldn't be omitted, but ever since Marty's boot episode it's been nonstop Chase-bashing, including jabs by nearly all of his primary allies. It's almost like the reverse of Natalie in Samoa, when we were shown nearly every small accomplishment as though it was a game-changer (the Erik boot x500, killing the rat, other tribe members saying "Natalie has grown so much! xoxo!"). I just wonder if we've been shown so much negative footage about Chase to justify his defeat, as it really has gone a bit over-the-top of late.